TY - JOUR TI - Diseño metodológico de la evaluación de proyectos energéticos bajo incertidumbre en precios : caso de cogeneración de energía en una empresa en Cali JO - ESTUDIOS GERENCIALES;Vol. 29 No. 126 Enero/Marzo 2013 PB - Universidad Icesi PY - 2013 issn 0123-5923 AB - Energy resources in the industry have increased in importance and competitiveness, representing the second or third major item in the cost of manufacture. The fluctuating behavior of historical costs, as well as the uncertainty of their future trend, accentuated by the imminent removal of the tax contribution on electricity (20% of the tariff), has led to questioning whether energy co-generation projects will be viable in the near future. This paper shows, from the development of an innovative methodology to assess the feasibility of the implementation of projects of co-generation based on three simulations that used statistical information and mathematical projections, as well as a performing a sensitivity analysis of the expected behaviors of future prices of electrical energy and fuels. KW - Producción intelectual registrada - Universidad Icesi KW - Economía KW - Contable y financiera KW - Evaluación financiera de proyectos KW - Valor presente neto KW - Tasa interna de retorno KW - Simulación KW - Financial assessment of projects KW - Simulation KW - Economía KW - Negocios y management KW - Economics KW - Business UR - http://www.icesi.edu.co/revistas/index.php/estudios_gerenciales/article/view/1599 ER -