%0 Journal Article 
%T The ex-ante effects of non-contributory pensions in Colombia and Peru
%D 2014
%@ 0954-1748
%U http://hdl.handle.net/10906/78318
%X The aim of this paper is to study the ex-ante e ects of the implementation of a Non Con-
tributory Pension (NCP) program in Colombia and Peru. Relying on household survey data,
we simulate the potential impact of the transfer on poverty, inequality,  scal cost, and the
probability of a liation to the contributory pension system. This last e ect is the most direct
behavioral e ect one can expect from the implementation of a NCP scheme. For the behavioral
response we estimate a Nested Logit Model. Our results show that a NCP in Colombia and
Peru contributes to the reduction of poverty and inequality among the elderly, particularly in
rural areas at a ordable  scal costs. Furthermore, there is not a large impact on the prob-
ability of a liation to contributory pensions when the program is targeted to the poor (and
extreme poor), with the exception of Peruvian women for whom there is always a sizeable
reduction on their probability of a liation to the contributory pension system.
%K Economía
%K Economics
%K Seguridad social
%K Pensiones a la vejez
%K Pobreza
%K Pensiones en Colombia
%K Pensiones en Perú
%~ GOEDOC, SUB GOETTINGEN