TY - THES TI - Comparación empírica de modelos de valor en riesgo (VAR) para un portafolio compuesto por el peso colombiano, el real brasilero y el peso mexicano PB - Universidad Icesi PY - 2011 UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10906/67002 AB - The purpose of this paper is to evaluate different methods to estimate VaR for a portfolio of Colombian peso, Brazilian real and Mexican peso. The evaluation was done thru the empirical comparison of the following methods: Historical Simulation, Constant Volatility, EWMA, and three multivariate GARCH models: Diagonal VECH, Constant Conditional Correlation and Diagonal BEKK. Backtesting proved that the constant volatility model does not offer the coverage needed, but MGARCH model, Diagonal BEKK, outperformed the other models. KW - Producción intelectual registrada - Universidad Icesi KW - RIESGO FINANCIERO KW - RIESGO (FINANZAS) KW - VAR (VALOR EN RIESGO) KW - TASA DE CAMBIO KW - MERCADO BURSATIL KW - MEDICIÓN DE RIESGO KW - GARCH KW - BACKTESTING KW - Economía KW - Economics ER -