TY  - JOUR 
TI  - The ex-ante effects of non-contributory pensions in Colombia and Peru
PB  - Wiley
PY  - 2014
issn 0954-1748
AB  - The aim of this paper is to study the ex-ante e ects of the implementation of a Non Con-
tributory Pension (NCP) program in Colombia and Peru. Relying on household survey data,
we simulate the potential impact of the transfer on poverty, inequality,  scal cost, and the
probability of a liation to the contributory pension system. This last e ect is the most direct
behavioral e ect one can expect from the implementation of a NCP scheme. For the behavioral
response we estimate a Nested Logit Model. Our results show that a NCP in Colombia and
Peru contributes to the reduction of poverty and inequality among the elderly, particularly in
rural areas at a ordable  scal costs. Furthermore, there is not a large impact on the prob-
ability of a liation to contributory pensions when the program is targeted to the poor (and
extreme poor), with the exception of Peruvian women for whom there is always a sizeable
reduction on their probability of a liation to the contributory pension system.
KW  - Economía
KW  - Economics
KW  - Seguridad social
KW  - Pensiones a la vejez
KW  - Pobreza
KW  - Pensiones en Colombia
KW  - Pensiones en Perú
UR  - http://hdl.handle.net/10906/78318
ER  -