TY  - JOUR 
TI  - Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: a pooled analysis of 751 population-based studies with 4.4 million participants
PB  - Elsevier
PY  - 2016
issn 0140-6736
AB  - Background One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age-standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are affecting the number of adults with diabetes.

Methods We pooled data from population-based studies that had collected data on diabetes through measurement of its biomarkers. We used a Bayesian hierarchical model to estimate trends in diabetes prevalence-defined as fasting plasma glucose of 7.0 mmol/L or higher, or history of diagnosis with diabetes, or use of insulin or oral hypoglycaemic drugs-in 200 countries and territories in 21 regions, by sex and from 1980 to 2014. We also calculated the posterior probability of meeting the global diabetes target if post-2000 trends continue.
KW  - Ciencias socio biomédicas
KW  - Medical sciences
KW  - Enfermedades cardiovasculares
KW  - Indice de masa corporal (IMC)
KW  - Factores de riesgo cardiovascular
KW  - Análisis sistemáticos
KW  - Diabetes
UR  - http://repository.icesi.edu.co/biblioteca_digital/handle/10906/82730
ER  -