(Universidad Icesi, 2013-01-01) Buenaventura Vera, Guillermo; Nuñez Viveros, Carlos Andrés; Gallego Hidalgo, Gabriel José
Energy resources in the industry have increased in importance and competitiveness, representing the
second or third major item in the cost of manufacture. The fluctuating behavior of historical costs, as well
as the uncertainty of their future trend, accentuated by the imminent removal of the tax contribution on
electricity (20% of the tariff), has led to questioning whether energy co-generation projects will be viable in
the near future. This paper shows, from the development of an innovative methodology to assess the
feasibility of the implementation of projects of co-generation based on three simulations that used
statistical information and mathematical projections, as well as a performing a sensitivity analysis of the
expected behaviors of future prices of electrical energy and fuels.
