Nuevo conocimiento - IFC

URI permanente para esta colecciónhttp://hdl.handle.net/10906/78239

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Caso de estudio. Cómo crear un portafolio de inversión con las opciones que ofrecen los fondos de pensiones voluntarias en Colombia: el caso de Skandia: Caso de Estudio
(Universidad Icesi, 2009-10-01) Camacho Roger, Virginia; Berggrun Preciado, Luis
Este caso consiste en aplicar el modelo de construcción de portafolios de Markowitz (1952) para armar portafolios óptimos a partir de la mezcla de varias alternativas de inversión que ofrece un Fondo de Pensiones Voluntarias como Skandia, con diversas clases de riesgo, teniendo en cuenta el nivel de aversión al riesgo de los inversionistas. Este caso consiste em aplicar o modelo de construção de portafolios de Markowitz para armar portafolios ótimos a partir da mistura de várias alternativas de investimento que oferece um Fundo de Pensões Voluntárias como Skandia, com diversas classes de risco, tendo em conta o nível de aversão ao risco dos inversionistas.
Caso de estudio. Gestión del riesgo cambiario en una compañía exportadora: Caso de estudio
(2011-10-01) España Calderón, Luis Fernando; López Casella, Julián Andrés; Berggrun Preciado, Luis
In a global environment, companies face exchange rate risk due to their need to conduct operations abroad. Risk must be managed properly in order to identify its impact on the viability and profitability of companies and to take proper risk mitigating measures. The case study under review analyzes the exchange rate risk of an exporting company in order to determine the probable impact of this risk. Furthermore, it discusses various alternatives to mitigate currency risk.
Caso de estudio. Sociedad Colombiana de Juegos y Apuestas S.A.: Burkenroad Report
(Universidad Icesi, 2007-11-27T17:23:29Z) García, Julián Esteban; Berggrun Preciado, Luis
Este artículo presenta un reporte Burkenroad de la empresa Sociedad Colombiana de Juegos y Apuestas S.A., compañía caleña perteneciente al sector de juegos de suerte y azar, cuya actividad es la explotación de apuestas permanentes o chance. Esta empresa nació de la fusión de 18 de las 20 empresas dedicadas a esta actividad en la ciudad de Cali, con el objetivo de fortalecerse para ganar la licitación que otorga el Departamento del Valle del Cauca para el desarrollo de esta actividad en los próximos 5 años. Este reporte contiene una breve escripción de la compañía, así como del mercado donde opera, un resumen administrativo y un análisis de los riesgos que la organización enfrenta. Además, el reporte finaliza con el valor aproximado de la empresa a través del Método de Flujo de Caja Libre en dos escenarios, donde se muestra como más factible el segundo, en el cual la aloración sugiere un precio de $2.04 por acción.
Corporate governance in emerging markets and its impact on finance performance
(2014-01-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
This paper reviews the theoretical framework of Corporate Governance and multiple issues in which it is evaluated such as agency costs, asymmetric information, insider trading, manipulation of earnings, Board of Directors, etc. Finally, it is reviewed the impact of Corporate Governance over cost of equity, capital structure and financial performance.
Emerging Markets Integration in Latin America (MILA) Stock market indicators: Chile, Colombia, and Peru
(Elsevier Doyma, 2015-12-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
This study aims to determine the impact of the Latin American Integrated Market (MILA) start-up in the main indicators of the stock markets of the countries that conform it (Chile, Colombia, and Peru). At the end, several indicators were reviewed to measure the impact on profitability, risk, correlation, and trading volume between markets, using indicators such as: annual profitability, standard deviation, correlation coefficient, and trading volume. The sample period runs from November 2008 to August 2013; and involves the three stock markets associated with MILA: Bolsa de Comercio de Santiago (BCS), Bolsa de Valores de Colombia (BVC) y Bolsa de Valores de Lima (BVL). An additional evaluation for further research would consist of the calculation of relevant indicators to corroborate the validity of the effects found in this investigation corresponding to the integration of the stock exchanges of Lima, Santiago and Bogota, after the integration of the Mexican stock exchange that occurred in 2014. © 2015 Universidad ESAN.
Financiación empresarial en Colombia, la mezcla de endeudamiento y patrimonio
(Emerald, 2012-01-01) Benavides Franco, Julián
This article studies the financing decisions of a set of Colombian companies between 1995 and 2009 in response to their investment requirements and their operational cash flow. We structured a SUR (Seemingly Unrelated Regressions) equation system based on the cash flow of these companies. Our results suggest that the shareholders' new equity contribution is virtually non-existent; instead, Colombian companies build up cash and use it as their primary source of financing for fixed assets and working capital. © 2012 de Cladea.
Fund flows and performance in Brazil
(Elsevier, 2015-02-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
This study analyzes how fund flows react to past performance in the dynamic Brazilian equity fund market over the period from 2001 to 2012. The study also tests for a “smart money” effect (Zheng, 1999), or whether funds that receive more money subsequently outperform those that receive less money. We find that investor flows chase past performance, and document some differences in the flow–performance relationship between retail and institutional funds. We do not find evidence of a “smart money” effect for the entire sample of funds. Nonetheless, flows in small and retail funds, which are often seen as populated by less sophisticated investors, do anticipate future fund performance.
La fusión de Bancolombia, Conavi y Corfinsura: Una aplicación de la metodología de estudio de eventos
(Universidad Icesi, 2006-07-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
Este artículo analiza el proceso de fusión de tres entidades financieras colombianas (Bancolombia, Conavi y Corfinsura) en términos de Creación de valor para los accionistas involucrados en dicha transacción utilizando la denominada "metodología de estudio de eventos". Esta metodología trata de cuantificar el impacto de un evento (como el anuncio de una fusión) en la riqueza de los accionistas y determinar los posibles ganadores o perdedores en el proceso. A través de test paramétricos y no paramétricos se logró determinar que los mayores beneficiados con la fusión fueron los accionistas de Corfinsura quienes tuvieron la oportunidad de intercambiar sus acciones por acciones más líquidas de la entidad absorbente (Bancolombia) y de apropiarse (de manera anticipada)de la creación de valor derivada de la fusión y de las posibles sinergias operativas y financieras que ésta conlleva.
Gestión de riesgos financieros. Experiencia en un banco latinoamericano
(Universidad Icesi, 2012-10-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis; Quispe, Julio; Lizarzaburu, Edmundo
The present document attempts to present the basic concepts of financial risk present in a bank, and in particular will present the case of a Peruvian bank, taking into accounts aspects such as risk management, the Third Basel Accord (Basel III) and the international financial crisis. The case was developed in the last quarter of 2012 in the Peruvian market.
Idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns: Evidence from the MILA
(Elsevier Ltd, 2016-05-01) Cardona, Emilio
This paper examines the association between idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns in the MILA from 2001 to 2014. Based on portfolio strategies that rely on one- or two-way sorts, we find that idiosyncratic risk is not a predictor of returns in the whole period or during high or low volatility months in the integrated market. We confirm the lack of an idiosyncratic volatility effect in a multivariate setting conducting errors-in-variables-free panel regressions. Overall, unsystematic risk is not a priced factor in the MILA, in line with predictions of several pricing models and recent literature in the U.S. market. © 2016 Elsevier B.V.
Introducción al análisis de riesgo financiero
(Universidad Icesi, 2008-01-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
La medición y gestión (manejo) del riesgo es una disciplina relativamente nueva,que ha surgido con gran dinamismo después de episodios de inestabilidad y crisis financieras que se presentaron en las décadas del ochenta y noventa (como por ejemplo: la crisis de la deuda externa en la mayoría de países latinoamericanos en los ochenta, la caída de la Bolsa de Nueva York en 1987, la explosión de las burbujas financieras e inmobiliarias en Japón en los noventa y la de las empresas “.com” a finales de los noventa, el “tequilazo” en México durante 1994, la crisis financiera en el sudeste asiático en 1997, y las de Rusia y Argentina en 1997 y en 1998, respectivamente). Estos acontecimientos, materializaciones de los riesgos existentes, han puesto de manifiesto la necesidad de la medición y el manejo de riesgo en un mundo cada vez más interconectado. Así, hoy en día la medición y la gestión del riesgo se han convertido en rutina ineludible en las instituciones financieras y tesorerías de grandes firmas. Los riesgos que enfrenta una organización pueden ser de distinta naturaleza.
Momentum in the Colombian Stock Market
(Taylor & Francis Group, 2011-01-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
Este documento analiza el desempeño bruto y ajustado por riesgo de portafolios de momentum tras la fusión de las bolsas de valores en Colombia en 2001. Hallamos poca evidencia de retornos de momentum significativos posteriores a la fusión. Se obtienen retornos ajustados por riesgo nulos al estimar dos modelos. Se verifican resultados similares en un periodo previo a la crisis financiera, considerando una frecuencia de datos mayor o un número diferente de portafolios. Atribuimos nuestros hallazgos a la existencia de más emisores y accionistas y a una mayor diseminación de información, lo cual dificulta beneficiarse de estudiar patrones de precios.
Optimal Portfolio allocation for latin American stock indices
(Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, 2010-01-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
This article uses four methods to derive optimal portfolios comprising inves - tments in the seven most representative stock exchanges in Latin America from 2001 to 2006 and it studies their composition and stability through time. The first method uses a historical variance – covariance matrix and the second one em - ploys a semi-variance – semi-covariance matrix. The third method consists of an exponentially weighted moving average and the fourth and last method applies resampling. From a practical point of view, this result is significant because less rebalancing can mean greater potential savings. The article further analyzes the performance of optimal portfolios as compared to equally weighted portfolios. The results of applying the Sharpe ratio in the out-of-sample period provided no evi - dence of statistically significant differences between optimal portfolios and equally weighted portfolios. However, some evidence is provided in favor of resampling as the returns obtained in the out-of-sample period showed stochastic dominance over the returns of the portfolios estimated using more traditional methodologie
Performance evaluation, fund selection and portfolio allocation applied to Colombia's pension funds
(Universidad Icesi, 2011-01-22T21:16:36Z) Jaramillo Recio, Fernando; Berggrun Preciado, Luis
This study examines performance of mandatory and voluntary pension funds in the 2004 – 2008 period. Furthermore, we present a methodology based on principal components that can aid affiliates when selecting funds. Moreover, we examine two portfolio optimization methodologies to evaluate any performance improvements in an evaluation period when choosing a particular methodology. The first one suggested by Markowitz (1952) and the second by Reveiz and Leon (2008b). We find an increase in risk, using several metrics, of mandatory and voluntary pension funds as well as a set of funds that better characterize the common movement of funds’ returns. No evidence was found in regards to economically or statistically significant gains of applying either optimization methodology using several holding periods.
Performance Persistence : the case of colombia ’ s Pension and severance Pay funds Persistencia en el desemPeño : el caso de los fondos de Pensiones y cesantías de colombia
(Consejo Latinoamericano de Escuelas de Administración, 2011-01-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
This paper studies performance persistence for mandatory, voluntary and severance pay funds in Colombia. We test for persistence in terms of raw and style-adjusted returns for consecutive and mul - tiple periods. This document also explores whether an investor following strategies based on persistence can attain statistical and economically significant excess returns. Our results indicate the presence of performance persistence for some funds in the very short run. However, investors pursuing portfolio strategies based on this sort of predictability would have been unable to obtain significant excess returns. More importantly, these findings support the notion of weak-form market efficiency.
Persistence in Equity Fund Performance in Brazil
(M.E. Sharpe Inc., 2014-01-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
We examine performance persistence in the large and growing Brazilian equity fund market from 2000 to 2012. We find a significant risk-adjusted spread between a portfolio of top- and bottom-performing funds, which supports the idea that performance persists. This spread remains after controlling for market, size, distress, and momentum risk factors and tends to be larger and more significant for a set of small and retail funds. The spread is mostly driven by the underperformance of the bottom decile of funds, which is consistent with the existence of some fund managers with insufficient skills to recover investment costs. © 2014 M.E. Sharpe, Inc. All rights reserved.
Price transmission dynamics between ADRs and their underlying foreign security: The case of Banco de Colombia S.A.- Bancolombia.
(Universidad Icesi, 2005-10-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
This paper analyzes the dynamics ofthe American Depositary Receipt (ADR) of a Colombian bank (Bancolombia) in relation to its pricing factors (underlying (preferred) shares price, exchange rate and the US market index). The aim is to test if there is a long-term relation among these variables that would imply predictability. One cointegrating relation is found allowing the use of a vector error correction model to examine the transmission of shocks to the underlying prices, the exchange rate, and the US market index. The main finding of this paper is that in the short run, the underlying share price seems to adjust after changes in the ADR price, pointing to the fact that the NYSE (trading market for the ADR) leads the Colombian market. However, in the long run, both, the underlying share price and the ADR price, adjust to changes in one another.
El riesgo operacional, Sae 16 Y As5 : herramientas de control y mejora
(Executive Business School, 2013-01-01) Berggrun Preciado, Luis
El objetivo del presente documento es desarrollar una revisión de la literatura de los principales conceptos del riesgo operacional en el marco de la evolución de los acuerdos de Basilea I, II y lo propuesto en el marco III y su potencial impacto en las entidades financieras supervisadas. Consideramos que la gestión del riesgo operacional, resultará importante en los próximos años. Asimismo, se presentan normas de auditoría interna y externa que vienen siendo im plementadas en economías emergentes y que su aplicación no solo es para el sector financiero, sino para otras industrias . De esta manera, se analizarán temas tales como las fuentes del riesgo operacional , las metodologías para el cálculo del requerimiento de capital por riesgo operacional y una revisión de los estándare s de auditoría interna y externa tales como el SAE16 y el AS5 . Al final se presentan comentarios y conclusiones finales para posibles líneas de investigación.

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Examinando Nuevo conocimiento - IFC por Autor "Berggrun Preciado, Luis"